Call the race.
Predict Esben's first marathon. Lose your call and your stake goes to the cause closest to your heart; win and you keep the glory. No money touches this site.
Goal: $5,000 to good causes — verified donations appear here as receipts come in.
- $330
- At stake
- 7
- Backers
- 9/9
- Markets open
- —
- Owed to the cause
Why there's no charity logo here
Fundraisers usually fail at the same spot: unless you're raising for whatever the news cycle already made everyone care about, no single charity is relevant to more than a handful of the people you ask. This one skips that problem entirely — you pick the cause, I just supply the suffering.
The whole methodology →How this works
Call 9 outcomes. Charities win either way.
Call it wrong: donate your stake to a charity you pick. Call it right: you owe nothing — though the honorable move is giving half anyway. Nothing's obligatory, and no money touches this site.
Play the ones you have an opinion on, skip the rest, enter your details once at the end.
The markets
Will Esben finish the NYC Marathon under 3:30:00?
- Sub-3:3064%
- Over 3:3036%
Will he run the first half under 1:40:00?
- Sub-1:4088%
- Over 1:4013%
Will he log over 500 training miles before race day?
- Over 500100%
- Under 5000%
Will Esben hit 'the wall' and slow down in the final 10K?
- He fades25%
- Holds pace75%
Will it be raining at the start line?
- Rain
- Dry
Will Esben need a bathroom break mid-race?
- Pit stop75%
- No stop25%
Will he raise over $5,000 for charity total?
- Over $5k
- Under $5k
Will he lift more than 1,950,000 lbs in training before the marathon? (about six blue whales)
- Beast mode100%
- Mere mortal0%
What brand of shoes will he run the marathon in?
- Nike
- Adidas
- Brooks
- New Balance
- Asics
- Saucony
- Other
How the honor system works
- Lose a call: donate your stake to a charity you choose, then send the receipt.
- You give directly — Esben never touches the money. Winners owe nothing, though the honorable move is giving half anyway.
- Every bet and receipt is checked by hand. Your email stays private, just so he can settle up.
This is a fundraiser, not a bet
Not gambling — no pot, no house, no payout. You can't win money or get your stake back; the only money that moves is your own voluntary donation, straight to a charity you choose. Play for the bragging rights and the cause.
The Ledger · Post-race
The Book of Honor
Losing is fine. Welching is not. Every backer on the wrong side is honor-bound to donate their stake to a charity of your choice. Once a market settles, the losing bets are tallied here.
The book is empty.
Nothing is owed until a market is settled with a result.
The Ledger · Verified
Raised so far
$0across 0 donations
No verified donations yet — be the first to back the run and prove it.
Lost a call, or just want to give? Pick any charity and log the receipt.
Donate & settle up